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🏆 Playoffs
Last updated: April 22, 2025 4:57 PM EDT • 6 min read
The Toronto Maple Leafs were ruthless and opportunistic, receiving another gem from Anthony Stolarz en route to their 6-2 victory in Game 1. 
They also got a lot of help from the Ottawa Senators, whose playoff inexperience made proceedings easier than they should have been for the Maple Leafs. 
Our Senators vs. Maple Leafs prediction and NHL picks for tonight’s game at Scotiabank Arena (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2) bank on a much more composed and disciplined performance from the visitors.  
📡 How to watch Senators vs. Maple Leafs live Game 2
📅 Tuesday, April 22
🕗 7:30 p.m. ET
📍 Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
📺 Sportsnet, ESPN2 | 🛜 Sportsnet+, ESPN+
📈 Check out our Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup page for full team stats and betting line history.
✅ Against the spread pick: Senators +1.5 (-170 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Senators (+158 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 5.5 (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Senators’ inexperience was on full display in their first playoff game in almost eight years. Ottawa handed the Maple Leafs six power plays, which the home team took full advantage of, scoring three times.
Aside from their lack of discipline, caused by an unchecked and raw level of excitement, the Sens played a solid game.
The on-ice proceedings didn’t reflect the lopsided score, with the Sens controlling 5-on-5 play. Ottawa outshot Toronto 33-24, won the 5-on-5 expected goals battle 1.9 to 1.36, and had a Corsi rating of 64%. While the Maple Leafs are no stranger to losing the Corsi battle, their 36% rating exemplifies how much the Sens dictated play. 
Though the Sens should be just as desperate in Game 2 if not more so, they’ll be immeasurably more controlled, disciplined, and composed. If the Sens can stay out of the sin bin, they should level the series.
I’m not utilizing the Sens moneyline pick as my best bet because of Anthony Stolarz, who has been phenomenal in Toronto all season, but even more so in the last nine games, including Sunday’s Game 1 triumph.
He recovered magnificently after a rare moment of complacency on Drake Batherson’s first-period goal. 
The Maple Leafs’ No. 1 has allowed two goals in his last three starts. Since losing 4-2 to Ottawa on March 15, Stolarz is 9-0-0. In the final eight games of the regular season, he posted three shutouts, had a .950 save percentage, and allowed a 1.37 goals-against average.
If the Maple Leafs win, it will be because of Stolarz. Ullmark must be better for the Sens after finishing Game 1 with -2.1 goals=saved above expected. That said, his team left him out to dry with its continual march to the penalty box. 
✅ Best bet: Under 5.5 (+102 via FanDuel)
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Tavares was a beast in Game 1, firing six shots on Ullmark. While I can’t see him being as productive, Tavares – who has never won a Stanley Cup – is a man on a mission. Built for the postseason, Tavares has already enjoyed an inspired campaign, and he’s far from done.
He also hit the Over in four of his previous five regular-season meetings with Ottawa. bet365 offers the longest odds of our best sports betting apps, and a winning $10 bet will profit $12. 
💰 Best odds: +120 via bet365
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Tkachuk fired five shots on Stolarz in his playoff debut. It was just his second game back after missing eight toward the tail end of the season, and there weren’t many signs of any lingering rust. Tkachuk, however, hasn’t posted a point in his last five games. For the Sens to have any chance in Game 2 and beyond, he must produce offensively.  
Despite it being his first playoffs, Tkachuk is built for the postseason (at least if his genes are anything to go by). I expect a spirited display from the Sens captain in his second playoff game, which should include a point and at least four shots. A winning $10 bet would profit $8. 
💰 Best odds: -125 via BetMGM
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Batherson scored a goal and had four shots in Game 1. He was one of the Sens’ most impactful players, and I expect a repeat performance from the 26-year-old. Batherson loves playing the Maple Leafs as much as a shopaholic enjoys Black Friday, scoring at least a point in six of the previous seven meetings with the Buds. 
💰 Best odds: -130 via DraftKings
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Latest Senators vs. Maple Leafs odds from our best sports betting sites.
Opening odds via BetMGM.
Ready to place your hockey bets today? Here are the best NHL betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the Stanley Cup playoffs:
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