Since returning from injury, Senators captain Brady Tkachuk has taken up his customary position as the team's primary shooter. Against a leaky Canadiens defense, he'll clear his SOG prop once again.
NHL
The Bell Centre will play host to a Canadian clash between the Ottawa Senators and Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday, December 2.
My top Senators vs. Canadian predictions and NHL picks are calling for Ottawa captain Brady Tkachuk to have his say in a road victory over Montreal tonight.
Senators vs Canadiens Best bet: Brady Tkachuk Over 3.5 shots on goal (+130)
Ottawa Senators captain Brady Tkachuk is now two games removed from his lengthy injury absence due to a thumb injury, and he’s recorded a team-high 10 shots on 15 attempts since returning.
Tkachuk paced the NHL in shots per 60 minutes and ranked second in attempts per 60 last season, which obviously landed him in the 99th percentile of NHL forwards in shots on goal.
His possession numbers also checked out, with Tkachuk posting a 53.7 Corsi For percentage and 55.8% shot share at 5-on-5.
This is also a good matchup, as the Montreal Canadiens are on a 4-5-3 run while ranking 27th in Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5. The Habs have allowed the eighth-most shots per game (29.3) during the skid.
Additionally, the Habs have averaged the fifth-most short-handed time (5:45) across the highlighted 12 games, and Tkachuk also paced the Sens in both shots and attempts per 60 with the man advantage last year.
In addition to the noted possession numbers during the 12-game stretch, the Canadiens also rank 21st in expected goals percentage at 5-on-5 and have surrendered the third-most per game (4.08). Goaltending has obviously been a major factor, with the Habs sporting the fourth-worst team save percentage at 5-on-5.
Ottawa has superior underlying metrics and ranks 11th in CF% and seventh in xGF% during the same stretch.
Tkachuk’s return is also a huge boon, and he’s collected four assists through five games this season after putting up a rock-solid 2.9 points per 60 minutes over the prior three years.
The Ottawa Senators have won 49 of their last 89 games (+3.60 Units / 3% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Senators vs. Canadiens.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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