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By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
The Detroit Red Wings (10-11-3) head to Beantown to battle the Boston Bruins (12-11-3) in an Original Six showdown on Tuesday, December 3, 2024. Puck drop is slated for 7:00 PM Eastern Time at TD Garden, with streaming coverage available on ESPN+ and Hulu.
The Bruins enter as sizeable home favorites at -175, while the over/under is listed at 6 goals. Can the surging B’s continue their strong play under interim coach Joe Sacco and earn a key divisional win? Let’s take a closer look.
Here is our Red Wings vs Bruins prediction for Tuesday night.
I’m backing the Bruins to get it done at home. Boston has won four of their last six overall and appears to be figuring things out after a rocky start cost coach Jim Montgomery his job. The B’s depth and experience gives them the edge in this matchup.
David Pastrnak paces the Bruins attack with nine goals, while veteran Brad Marchand has dished out nine assists. Charlie Coyle has also contributed with four goals in his last five home appearances.
While Boston ranks just 30th in scoring (2.46 goals per game), they draw a favorable matchup against a struggling Red Wings defense allowing 3.17 goals against on average. Detroit has particularly scuffled on the road, going just 2-4 in their last six away from Little Caesars Arena.
The Red Wings will also be without star winger Patrick Kane, who remains sidelined on IR with an undisclosed injury. His absence puts even more pressure on Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond to carry the offense.
INJURY UPDATE: Per The Detroit Red Wings, F Patrick Kane has been placed on IR retroactive to 11/23/24. #LGRW pic.twitter.com/3y7Pt0Hti6
— Locked On Red Wings Podcast (@LO_RedWings) December 3, 2024
Between the pipes, the Bruins hold the advantage. The tandem of Jeremy Swayman (.892 SV%, 3.09 GAA) and Joonas Korpisalo (.907 SV%, 2.45 GAA, 2 SO) has rounded into form lately, combining for a stingy 2.00 GAA and .918 SV% over the last five games.
Meanwhile, the Red Wings face major question marks in net with Ville Husso (.818 SV%, 4.90 GAA) struggling mightily. Alex Lyon and Cam Talbot are both unavailable due to injury.
On the backend, the Bruins’ top pair of Charlie McAvoy and Hampus Lindholm, who have combined for 6.3 defensive point shares, matches up well against Detroit’s top scorers like Larkin and Raymond. As a team, Boston ranks a respectable 17th in goals allowed (3.08 per game).
While the Red Wings have some dangerous offensive weapons and have played better lately, the Bruins are the pick here. Boston is deeper, has a rest advantage, and much better goaltending. They’ve also dominated this rivalry in Boston (16-3 past 19 meetings). Take the B’s on the 60-minute line.
Tuesday Hockey Picks:
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The Bruins are solid -175 moneyline favorites, meaning a $175 bet would profit $100 if they win. The Red Wings are +245 underdogs – a $100 wager would return $245 if they pull the upset.
Boston is +140 to cover -1.5 goals, while Detroit is favored to stay within that margin at -167. Based on the juice, oddsmakers predict a close game that the Bruins win by 1-2 goals.
The total is set at 6 goals, with even -110 odds on both sides. With two bottom-10 offenses and some key injuries, bookmakers envision a lower-scoring, tight-checking affair. The rivals have actually trended towards the over, lately, however (7 of last 10 head-to-head have featured 6+ goals).
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Odds as of December 3, 2024 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Compare the latest NHL betting odds for Red Wings vs Bruins.
The Bruins lead the all-time series against the Red Wings with a 135-130-19 record. Boston has won three of the last five meetings overall, including the most recent matchup 2-1 on Nov. 23, 2024.
When favored recently, the Bruins are 3-0 against the Red Wings, winning in regulation each time. The over has hit in three of the last four meetings, with the lone under coming in the most recent meeting.
The Bruins are playing some of their best hockey of the season right now, winners of four of six since Sacco took over. The offense has come alive lately, too, scoring six goals in two of their last three outings. Don’t expect that to faze a surging Boston squad though.
Detroit has competed admirably and played .500 hockey over their last 10 games. They’ve overachieved a bit based on underlying metrics, however, as the Red Wings rank bottom-10 in expected goals for (xGF), high-danger chances for (HDCF), and scoring chances for (SCF) at 5v5. Without a full complement of goalies, those flaws could get exposed.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
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