Oilers vs Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game – Covers.com

Our Oilers vs. Senators predictions expect these goaltenders and defenses to be at their best.
NHL
The Edmonton Oilers host the Ottawa Senators on Sunday night in a battle between two of the league’s hottest teams.
Edmonton kept the good times going in dramatic fashion against San Jose, tying the game in the dying seconds before winning in overtime. Meanwhile, the Senators picked up an extra-time victory of their own to move to 8-1-1 over the last 10 games.
My Senators vs. Oilers predictions see both teams building on strong runs of defensive play in a tight, lower-scoring affair. Let’s take a closer look with my NHL picks for December 22.
My Oilers pick
Under 6.5 (-128 at BET99)
My Oilers analysis
Both teams have won eight of the last 10 games on the back of strong defense and goaltending.
The Edmonton Oilers have held opponents to just 26.54 shots on goal per game. They have effectively limited how many quality chances they’ve given up, allowing just 9.38 high-danger looks per 60 minutes. That is the 3rd lowest total in that span, bested only by the Panthers and Bruins — two pretty good teams!
They’ve done a nice job at making life easier on their goaltenders and they’ve been rewarded accordingly. Stuart Skinner and Calvin Pickard have combined to post a .917 save percentage over the last 10 games, a Top-5 mark.
It’s been a similar story for the surging Ottawa Senators. They have generally controlled the run of play and gotten saves when needed. Projected starter Linus Ullmark has lived up to expectations and then some of late, holding opponents to two goals or fewer in seven of his last eight starts.
He’s now sporting a .916 save percentage on the season — miles above the league average — and has cracked the Top 10 with a goals saved above expected total of +9.3.
Both teams have their No. 1 goaltender rested and available for this game. In their current form, they’ll be difficult to crack. Making things more difficult is the scheduling. Each team is playing its third game in four nights, meaning we could see some tired bodies out there, with the two sides relying on simplicity and structure to get them through.
It’s also worth noting each side has played very disciplined hockey of late. Only three teams have taken fewer penalties per game than Edmonton during this 10-game heater, while the Senators also rank Top 10 in terms of avoiding penalties.
That’s important as the Senators are clicking at a 24% clip this season while the Oilers possess arguably the hottest power play in the league.

Under 6.5

Evan Bouchard over 2.5 shots

Thomas Chabot Under 0.5 points
Evan Bouchard has been ripping pucks of late. He’s cleared 2.5 shots in four consecutive games and attempted at least seven shots in three games in a row.
The Senators have done a good job of keeping shots to the outside of late, which has resulted in a lot of volume for opposing defensemen. Only four teams have allowed more shots to blueliners over the past 10 games.
With fatigue a factor, we should see less skating and fewer rush opportunities in this game. That sets up well for slow, methodical offensive possessions and plenty of point shots.
Chabot has hit the scoresheet in only four of the past 17 games, with his most recent Overs coming against the Ducks, Penguins, and Canucks in a contest where their goaltenders posted a .773 save percentage. He’s had a tough time producing against quality opponents, and that should be the case once again in Edmonton.
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Odds courtesy of BET99.
Evan Bouchard has averaged 9.3 shot attempts over his last three home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Senators.

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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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