Stuart Skinner has tightened things up in net, and he'll shine against the Sabres.
NHL
The Edmonton Oilers are quietly climbing the Western Conference standings and play the fourth of seven consecutive road games against the Buffalo Sabres on Monday, November 17.
My Oilers vs. Sabres predictions and NHL picks expect Edmonton goalie Staurt Skinner to continue his recent run of improved play tonight.
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Oilers vs Sabres Best bet: Stuart Skinner Over 22.5 saves (-120)
Edmonton Oilers No. 1 goalie Stuart Skinner has been solid in his past two starts with a .930 SV% and 1.97 GAA with 1.67 goals saved above expected.
I anticipate another strong showing from the netminder, with the only question for this prop being whether the Buffalo Sabres can generate enough shots for Skinner to turn away.
The Sabres have averaged 27.8 shots per game, and No. 1 defensemen Rasmus Dahlin’s return is a boost for a team likely to prioritize pucks on net as a home underdog tonight.
Dahlin has driven 5-on-5 possession with a rock-solid 54.2 Corsi For percentage over the previous three seasons, after all.
Returning to Skinner, he’s flashed high-end play for stretches throughout his tenure with the Oil, and this is a game Edmonton will want to win. The Oilers can climb into a tie for top spot in the Pacific Division if everything breaks their way tonight.
With the Oilers in the middle of a tough, seven-game road trip, I expect them to capitalize on the spot and take down the basement-dwelling Sabres tonight.
Edmonton has won three of its past four games and is the superior team at 5-on-5 in both CF% and expected goals percentage.
A huge aspect of the Oilers’ success is playing solid defense. Edmonton allowed the 10th-fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 last season (2.38), so additional attention to defensive detail will continue to be a focus.
While the Oil have surrendered a respectable 2.5 xGA per 60 (15th) this season, there’s still room for improvement.
The Edmonton Oilers have hit the Under in 30 of their last 57 away games (+1.85 Units / 3% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Sabres.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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