Advanced metrics heavily favored the Oilers in their comeback win over the Golden Knights on Tuesday, and we expect Edmonton to build on that momentum at T-Mobile Arena.
This article contains predictions for an old game!
The Edmonton Oilers rallied for a third-period comeback and statement Game 1 win over the Vegas Golden Knights, and the two teams will hit the ice again tonight.
My Oilers vs. Golden Knights predictions have Edmonton tilting the ice in its favor by heading back to Rogers Place with a 2-0 series lead.
Find out more in my NHL picks for Thursday, May 8.
Edmonton was dominant at five-on-five in Game 1, and Vegas was limited to only nine shots and three high-danger scoring chances.
Superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are obviously leading the way during Edmonton’s five-game winning streak, but all four lines have been contributing during the playoffs.
Back the Oilers to take care of business on Thursday.
My Oilers vs Golden Knights pick: Oilers moneyline (+115 at BET99)
The Edmonton Oilers steamrolled the Vegas Golden Knights at five-on-five in Game 1, boasting a 57.7 Corsi For percentage and 73.5 expected goals percentage.
Vegas generated just 22 shots and seven high-danger scoring chances, and Edmonton finished with a 62.2 xGF%.
Oilers netminder Calvin Pickard has won five straight, and while his .896 SV% and 0.77 goals saved above expected don’t stand out, he’s provided steady play since joining the club ahead of the 2023-24 season, posting a 34-17-2 record with a .903 SV% and 2.61 GAA.
Edmonton has the offensive firepower to win games with average goaltending, and Pickard is providing that.
All eyes are on Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, but I value the Edmonton supporting cast doing their part. There are 13 Oilers with at least two points and 12 who have found the back of the net during Edmonton’s five-game winning streak.
Oilers moneyline
Connor McDavid Over 0.5 assists
Evander Kane Over 2.5 shots
McDavid has picked up an assist in six of seven postseason games, and he also collected 34 helpers across 25 games during last year’s playoffs.
Skating with Draisaitl in all situations also helps because the duo has been on the ice for 17 goals and 42 high-danger scoring chances over just 121:13 of shared ice time this postseason, which checks out at 8.41 goals and 20.79 HDCF per 60 minutes.
Turning to Oilers winger Evander Kane, he’s recorded three or more shots in three of five games during the Edmonton winning streak. The veteran has just three total across the past two contests despite registering 11 attempts, so look for Kane’s shooting efficiency to correct itself.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Vegas has hit the Under in 39 of its last 65 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Golden Knights.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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