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Last Updated: November 22, 2024 12:13 PM EST • 2 min 50 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link
The Winnipeg Jets soar into PPG Paints Arena with the NHL’s best record (16-3-0) as they prepare for a Friday encounter with the Pittsburgh Penguins (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+), who have lost six of their last eight.
It took some time, but the Jets’ Stanley Cup odds are finally ascending.
Scott Arniel’s squad is tied with the New York Rangers for the third-best road points percentage (.778), and it enters tonight’s contest as the clear favorite.
However, the Rangers’ moneyline odds (-160) aren’t as short as I expected for a contest against a Pens team with the sixth-worst record (3-6-2) and fifth-worst defensive record on home ice.
Maybe Winnipeg losing two straight on the road, the team’s only away defeats, impacted the Jets’ odds. Either way, our Jets vs. Penguins prediction expects Winnipeg to get the job done in regulation.
Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Best odds: -105 via Betway | Implied probability: 51.22%
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The Jets are well-rested and will want to make amends for the Florida Panthers (5-0) and Tampa Bay Lightning (4-1) blowing them out in the Sunshine State. There are few better ways to recapture your road mojo than playing the Pens at PPG Paints Arena.
Pittsburgh has lost three of the last four at home, with its only win against a San Jose Sharks team with the third-worst road points percentage (.308). The Pens’ defense has been consistently abject since the start of the season, and that shows in the numbers. They’re allowing the most goals per game (3.86) and goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 (3.41).
They’ve also allowed the third-most goals above expected (9.11), highlighting a recurring issue in goal. And it hasn’t really mattered which of their three goalies gets the starting nod.
The Jets’ letdown games in Tampa Bay and Sunrise, Fla. were bound to happen. No team can continually play flawlessly in enemy environments, no matter how elite or dominant. It’s not like they need it, but those setbacks should motivate the Jets as they embark on a six-game road trip.
Winnipeg is 7-2-0 on the road, allowing the ninth-fewest goals per game (2.67). By allowing nine goals in Florida, that defensive record—which was recently the league’s best—took a hit. Excluding those two outliers, the Jets haven’t allowed more than three goals in any enemy rink.
Connor Hellebucyk is the confirmed starter, increasing the Jets’ chances of securing the regulation win. Hellebuyck is 13-2-0 with a 2.20 goals-against average and a .923 save percentage. He wasn’t in goal the last time these two teams met, and the Jets won that affair 6-3 on home ice.
If the Jets win in regulation, a $10 bet will lead to a profit $9.52.
NHL picks made Friday; odds subject to change.
Best odds: -110 via Betway | Implied probability: 52.38%
The Jets score 4.11 goals per game on the road, tied for the second most with the Rangers. Overall, Winnipeg scores the most (4.21). Excluding those forgettable outings in Florida, the Jets have scored four-plus goals in six of seven away games, averaging 5.14 during that stretch.
Their explosive offense, combined with the Pens’ tragic defensive record, enhances the appeal of this prop, and a winning $10 bet will profit $9.09.
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