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By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
The Edmonton Oilers (0-3-0) will look to secure their first victory of the season when they host the Philadelphia Flyers (1-1-0) at Rogers Place on Tuesday, October 15.
Puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 PM EDT on ESPN. The Oilers enter as heavy -210 moneyline favorites, while the Flyers are +175 underdogs. The total is set at 6.5 goals.
Here is our Flyers vs Oilers prediction, along with a breakdown of the NHL betting odds
The Edmonton Oilers are heavily favored at -210 in the Tuesday NHL odds, which implies a 67.7% probability of winning. The Flyers are +175 underdogs, giving them a 36.4% implied probability of victory.
The -210 odds for the Oilers reflect their status as preseason Stanley Cup favorites, despite their slow start. The Flyers’ +175 odds offer significant value for bettors who believe they can capitalize on Edmonton’s early-season struggles.
In terms of over/under, the total number of projected goals is 6.5, with the over slightly favored at -105. This suggests oddsmakers expect a high-scoring game, likely due to the Oilers’ potent offense and both teams’ defensive issues so far this season.
Odds as of October 15, 2024. Check out the best NHL betting apps for Flyers vs Oilers tonight.
It’s been a nightmare start for an Oilers team that entered the season as the Stanley Cup favorites. The Oilers have stumbled out of the gate, losing their first three games on home ice and being outscored 15-3 in the process.
The Oilers have controlled play at 5v5, generating 63% of shot attempts and 58% of expected goals, but they’ve struggled to convert on their chances. In their last outing, they came up short against the Flames in the Battle of Alberta.
The lack of finishing is surprising considering the star power on this Oilers roster. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl usually fill the scoresheet with ease, but they have been held in check for the most part so far.
Edmonton’s power play, which ranked first in the NHL last season, is clicking at just 20% to start the year. Jeff Skinner leads the team with two points (1 goal, 1 assist), while Mattias Ekholm has chipped in with two assists.
Injuries have also been a factor for the Oilers. Evander Kane is on long-term IR with an estimated return in February, while Derek Ryan, Calvin Pickard, and Raphael Lavoie are all listed as day-to-day.
Philadelphia has split their first two games of a four-game road trip, posting a 1-1-0 record. The Flyers are averaging 2.50 goals per game while allowing 4.00. Travis Konecny has been the offensive catalyst, leading the team with two goals.
Bobby Brink has contributed two assists, including one on the power play. The Flyers’ special teams have been solid, with a 25.0% success rate on the power play and an 80.0% penalty kill. They’ve also notched one short-handed goal.
Shorthanded? Doesn't matter. 😮💨
What a give-and-go by the Flyers to cut the Flames' lead. 🪽 pic.twitter.com/34q8llOHkn
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) October 13, 2024
Rookie Matvei Michkov, who recorded his first NHL point against Calgary, is expected to skate on Philadelphia’s top power-play unit. The 2023 first-round pick will have an opportunity to showcase his elite puck skills against an Oilers penalty kill operating at just 44%.
On the injury front, defenseman Nick Seeler is on IR with an estimated return on October 17, while Samu Tuomaala is listed as out but could return for this game.
The Oilers are expected to start Stuart Skinner between the pipes. Skinner has struggled mightily to start the season, going 0-2-0 with a dismal .805 save percentage and 9.64 goals-against average.
For the Flyers, Samuel Ersson will likely get the nod after a strong performance in the season opener. Ersson is 1-0-0 with a .923 save percentage and 1.85 goals-against average.
While the Flyers present intriguing value as heavy underdogs, it’s hard to bet on the Oilers dropping to 0-4 to start the season. Edmonton’s underlying metrics suggest they’re due for a breakout, and the desperation factor should propel them to victory on home ice.
With only three goals on the year, the Oilers haven’t found their offensive touch yet. They should find it tonight against a Flyers team allowing four goals per game. Edmonton has only received five power-play opportunities through the first three games (20.0 PP%), which should also change soon.
I like the Over 6.5 goals for my Flyers vs Oilers prediction. The goals are coming for Kris Knoblauch’s squad, and there’s also likely positive regression ahead for their special teams. With both teams struggling defensively, there’s a good chance we’ll see plenty of pucks in the net.
Moreover, the “over” has cashed in six of the last eight games between these clubs at Rogers Place. Neither goalie can be trusted to help buck that trend tonight.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
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