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By Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey
Published:
Saturday night, Nathan MacKinnon and the Avalanche host Tyler Toffoli and the Flames. Both squads are in the midst of a playoff battle, with the Avs holding the final wild card spot in the Western Conference, and Calgary is directly behind them, three points adrift. Colorado comes in having won five of six (5-0-1), and their counterparts have gone 2-2-2 in their last six contests.
Colorado has won five of their last eight meetings against Calgary. Read on for Flames vs Avalanche analysis.
The Avs are tied for the second favorite in the Stanley Cup odds at +750, while the Flames are the ninth choice at +1700. Colorado is the -130 favorite in this contest that features a total of 6 goals.
Puck drop is set for 10:00 pm ET at Ball Arena in Denver, CO with Altitude broadcasting the game in the States and Rogers Sportsnet has it in Canada.
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The Calgary Flames have been underachieving all season, and their inconsistent play might be what thwarts them from punching their ticket to the postseason. They’ve dropped four of six (2-2-2), and in their most recent outing, blew a two-goal, third-period lead to Vegas to fall in overtime.
Flames had one shot on goal in the third.
Not exactly the killer instinct they need.
Andersson rang one off the post, or we wouldn't be going to OT.
Here we go again.
— Eric Francis (@EricFrancis) February 24, 2023
They’re middle of the road in goal scoring (15th), after ranking sixth last season, and are 22nd with the man advantage. They were third in goals against last campaign, and have been far worse this year, ranking 15th. They’ve surrendered at least three goals in five of their last six outings. It’ll also be their third game in four nights – they’ve dropped seven of their last eight in the final game of such a stretch.
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Following Colorado’s January 12th defeat against the lowly Blackhawks, which was their seventh loss in eight, they’ve caught fire. Since then, they’re 12-2-2, second in the NHL during that span.
For the season, Colorado is 17th in scoring and tenth in goals allowed. Captain Gabriel Landeskog has missed the entire season (knee) and reigning Norris Trophy-winning blueliner Cale Makar has been in concussion protocol twice recently.
What’s worse than an NHL player with a concussion being improperly returned to the game? It happening to the same player TWICE in TWO WEEKS.
Cale Makar has been cleared by the Avalanche only to be diagnosed after the game twice in 11 days.
Here’s the first time on 2/7: pic.twitter.com/LRuW0nzGrX
— Chris Nowinski, Ph.D. (@ChrisNowinski1) February 21, 2023
The Avs netminders have been stingy, allowing the nine fewest goals per game on the campaign. During this fantastic run, they’ve scored 3.69 goals per outing, and allowed 2.31. This is the second game in as many nights for the Avs – for the season, they’re 6-2 in such battles, with wins in five straight.
Colorado has won five of their last eight encounters with Calgary, gaining at least a point in all but one of them (5-1-2). They’ve won eight of their last ten home games when they’ve been a favorite of -110 to -150.
With Colorado getting healthier, following a slew of injuries, they’re resembling the team that won the Stanley Cup a year ago. Our model has this Flames vs Avalanche game narrowly going the home team’s way by a count of 3.44-3.29.
The over has hit in six of the Flames’ last seven overall duels. It’s also occurred in five of their last six versus teams with winning records. Selecting the hotter team that isn’t playing in a very inconsistent fashion is the play here.
Pick: Colorado Avalanche Moneyline (-130), Over 6 Goals (-115)
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
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