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By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
The Edmonton Oilers can advance to the Stanley Cup Final for the first time since 2006 with a win against the Dallas Stars tonight. Game 6 of the Western Conference Final will be played on Sunday, June 2nd, at 8:30 p.m. ET, and the broadcast will be carried by TNT.
Up 3-2 in the series, the Oilers are home favorites over the Stars in Game 6 tonight. We’ve made our Oilers vs Stars Game 6 prediction, plus identified some of the best player props to wager on.
The Oilers have all the momentum in the series after reeling off two consecutive victories to take a 3-2 lead. The Stars’ offense, which ranked third-highest in the league during the regular season, has gone cold with only three goals in the past two games.
We picked the Stars to win this series in our Oilers vs Stars series odds and prediction, but has the team run out of fumes? Head coach Pete DeBoer actively shut down speculation about his team lacking character following the deflating 3-1 loss at home in Game 5.
Pete DeBoer took major exception to a question calling out the Stars Game 5 effort 😳 pic.twitter.com/gIfZ7wW6W5
— B/R Open Ice (@BR_OpenIce) June 1, 2024
We are still bullish on this Stars team, primarily due to goaltending. Jake Oettinger has been excellent on the road this season, having posted a 1.71 goals-against average and .947 save percentage in eight away contests. Dallas as a team is 6-2 in road games this postseason.
Edmonton is certainly capable of winning both this game and the series, but we don’t expect the Stars to make it easy for them. Dallas is led by two veteran forwards, Joe Pavelski and Jamie Benn, who are well aware this might be their last shot at winning a Cup.
Everyone in NHL history with 200+ playoff games played and 0 Stanley Cups:
— Joe Pavelski
He's gotten too close too many times. pic.twitter.com/SywgnluWwC
— Big Head Hockey (@BigHeadHcky) June 1, 2024
Dallas has emerged victorious in three of their past four elimination games, including in Game 7 against the Vegas Golden Knights this postseason. They have just three losses in their past 17 road games and won’t be intimidated by the hostile environment tonight.
With the public backing McDavid and the Oilers in the NHL public betting trends, we’ll hop on Dallas at this underdog price. We’re also betting the under given the tight-checking nature of elimination games. Furthermore, the under is on a remarkable 26-6-1 run in Oilers games in which the team allows two goals or less in their previous game.
Game 6 Picks:
The Stars vs Oilers playoff odds show the home team as -135 favorites to punch their ticket to the conference final. This is Edmonton’s heaviest price of the series after closing as a -130 favorite in Friday’s Game 5. Edmonton’s implied win probability based on these odds is 57.45%.
Dallas is a +114 underdog at DraftKings, which is the team’s second-longest price of the series. Dallas was a +118 road underdog in Game 4 in Edmonton but went on to lose by a 5-2 score. The Stars’ Game 6 implied win probability based on these odds is 41.03%.
In terms of the over/under, oddsmakers are setting it low at 5.5, with -115 juice towards the under. In the three previous Stars vs Oilers matchups in which the total was set low at 5.5, the “under” cashed each game. The implied probability of the two teams combining for fewer than 5.5 goals is 53.49%.
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Odds as of June 1, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Unlock the DraftKings promo code to bet on Oilers vs Stars. If you’ve already registered with DraftKings, check out the top NHL betting apps.
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When it comes to the NHL player props, no player is an odds-on favorite to find the back of the net. Zach Hyman, who leads the NHL playoffs with 13 goals, has the best odds to find twine at +100 (50% implied probability).
Wyatt Johnston to record a point at -115 odds sticks out at great value considering how reliable he’s been for Dallas this postseason. Johnston paces the team with 16 points in 18 games and has found the back of the net in three straight contests.
Game 6 Prop Bet:
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
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