Seattle has come out firing since the Four Nations break, and we anticipate Montreal netminder Jakub Dobes facing plenty of shots at Climate Pledge Arena.
NHL
The Montreal Canadiens will look to make it two in a row with a win over the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena tonight.
Montreal is in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race, and my Canadiens vs. Kraken predictions expect Habs backup Jakub Dobes to stand tall.
Read more in my NHL picks for Wednesday, March 12.
My Canadiens pick: Jakub Dobes Over 24.5 saves (-125 at BET99)
My Canadiens analysis
The Montreal Canadiens will turn to backup Jakub Dobes against the Seattle Kraken on Wednesday, and this is a tough schedule spot for the Habs. Montreal is hitting the ice for the second leg of a back-to-back road set, and this is also the final stop of a four-game roadie.
As a result, I anticipate the recent possession and shots mismatch to play out at Climate Pledge Arena, with the Seattle Kraken peppering Dobes with rubber early and often tonight.
Montreal sports a 31st-ranked 43.5 Corsi For percentage at five-on-five since the 4 Nations Face-Off break, while Seattle sits eighth with a 52.0 mark. The Kraken have also averaged the eighth-most shots per game (29.4) since the layoff.
Dobes has looked the part of an NHL goaltender to start his career, too. He’s posted a .913 SV%, 2.49 GAA, and 0.54 goals saved above average per 60 minutes. A 2.2 goalie point share across just 11 appearances also impresses.
The Canadiens have spent the most time shorthanded per game (5:18) this season, creating an opportunity for Seattle to tilt the ice further in their favor on special teams and generate additional shots with the man advantage.
Under 6.5
Jakub Dobes Over 24.5 saves
Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 points
In addition to the solid play from Dobes this season, Seattle No. 1 Joey Daccord has been equally good on home ice with a .912 SV% and 2.49 GAA across the past two seasons.
Both the Canadiens and Kraken are middling offensive teams and respectively rank 16th and 15th in goals per game, as well as 18th and 26th in expected goals per 60 minutes at five-on-five.
Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Montreal captain Nick Suzuki has racked up 15 points across eight games since the 4 Nations pause, and he’s marked the scoresheet in six of those eight.
Finally, plugging in a Suzuki Over alongside the game total Under is a nice multiplier for the SGP odds.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Montreal has hit the moneyline in 37 of its last 82 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Kraken.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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