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🏒 4 Nations Final
Last Updated: February 19, 2025 8:00 AM EST • 4 min 56 sec read.
Revenge is best served cold. It’s a good thing they’re playing on ice, as rancor and emotions between Canada and the USA remain scolding hot after their round-robin bout. 
Hockey rivals that need no introduction will take center stage in the 4 Nations Face-Off final on Thursday at TD Garden in Boston (8 p.m. ET, ESPN), and we’re about to see which team will put together the finished product at the crucial moment.
Staying true to our early 4 Nations Face-Off predictions, our Canada vs. USA prediction expects revenge to be served.
While the USA opened as the favorite, the 4 Nations Face-Off odds couldn’t be any closer now. Four of our best sportsbooks have the same -110 odds for Canada and the USA, a dead-heat pick’em, while Caesars has the Americans as the -115 favorites.
Meanwhile, Betway has Canada as the -115 favorites. If you didn’t already know, there’s nothing to choose between these two elite hockey nations entering their first head-to-head best-on-best final since the 2010 Olympics, which Canada won 3-2 in overtime. 
Here are the latest Canada vs. USA odds and betting lines via Betway for Thursday’s 4 Nations Face-Off final at 8 p.m. ET. Be sure to check out the rest of our NHL picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NHL.
Every NHL franchise with participating players in the final will hold their collective breath as Canada and the USA take one last hard, sustained charge at each other. 
While the USA won the round-robin contest, I can’t see Canada going down in consecutive games against their bitter rivals. Also, Canada’s top players found some momentum while the Americans’ best have been pushed slightly off course in the lead-up to the final, which I’ll dive into more below. 
The USA has a discernible advantage in goal, but Jordan Binnington has unforgettable winning memories in Boston. Those reasons, among others, are why I predict Canada will win the 4 Nations Face-Off final. 
It’s time to drop the puck, or should I say gloves, on one of the most anticipated hockey contests in a generation. The one discernible USA advantage resides between the pipes, with runaway Vezina Trophy odds favorite Connor Hellebuyck representing the world’s best. He’s also the 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds favorite entering the final. 
Hellebuyck’s record with the USA is about as indomitable as his presence in the cage. So, he must be due for a loss, right? 
This might be grasping at straws, a pre-requisite when trying to find Hellebuyck weaknesses, but Hellebuyck is a subpar 2-3-1 in Boston, posting a 2.49 goals-against average (GAA) and a .921 save percentage. In addition, Connor McDavid has 56 points (12 goals, 44 assists) in 33 games against the Hellebuyck-led Jets. McDavid also has nine assists in his last seven games against the Jets netminder. 
Make no mistake: For Canada to win, Jordan Binnington cannot allow a goal like he did in the round-robin game. While he’s susceptible to those harebrained moments, Binnington enjoyed the best patch of his career in Boston, winning three of four games there en route to the 2019 Stanley Cup championship. He was 3-1, with a .947 save percentage and a 1.75 GAA. 
Canada is likely looking at another key advantage, Cale Makar. The Norris Trophy odds favorite didn’t play against the Americans in the round-robin due to an undisclosed illness.
Combine that with the fact that one of Team USA’s primary shutdown defensemen, Charlie McAvoy, will not play due to a shoulder injury. He was the main reason McDavid — aside from his moment of magic — was relatively quiet in the previous meeting. 
It has been confirmed that Quinn Hughes will not save the day for the USA. The 4 Nations Face-Off rules state that the U.S. must have one more unavailable defenseman before he can play. So, the Makar advantage is well and truly in play. 
Lastly, McDavid and Nathan MacKinnon have found their groove while the Tkachuk brothers and Auston Matthews are banged up. As if there were any doubt, all three will play in the final. However, there’s more than a puncher’s chance that at least one of them won’t be playing at full bore. 
Final score prediction: Team Canada 3, Team USA 2
Here are our Canada vs. USA expert picks and best bets with our pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our NHL player prop odds tool for the latest NHL odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
Canada vs. USA parlay odds: +331 via Betway (bet $10 to win $33.10)
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Here are the rosters for Thursday’s 4 Nations Face-Off final between Canada and USA.
📅 Date: Thursday, Feb. 20, 2025
🕗 Time: 8 p.m. ET
📍 Location: TD Garden (Boston)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+, Fubo, Sling
It’s a dead heat, with no decisive favorite across our best sportsbooks. However, Betway has Canada as the -115 favorite. Those odds imply a 53.49% win probability, according to our odds calculator. 
Thursday’s 4 Nations Face-Off final starts at 6 p.m. ET. 
You can watch the 4 Nations Face-Off final on ESPN or Sportsnet. It can be streamed on ESPN+, Sportsnet+, and Fubo. 
Looking to bet on Canada vs. USA in the 4 Nations Face-Off final? Here are our best NHL betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of Thursday’s game at 8 p.m. ET.
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