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CFP Round 1
Last Updated: December 17, 2024 3:51 PM EST • 2 min 43 sec read.
This year’s Calgary Flames can appear to be two entirely different teams depending on where they play. 
The Flames produced the seventh-best home points percentage (.719). But oddly, they’ve posted the sixth-worst away mark (.400). Yet the Flames still come into Tuesday’s contest (9 p.m. ET, ESPN+) as underdogs while facing the Boston Bruins.
Meanwhile, Boston has lost two of its last three contests on the road, all while being outscored 14-7. Our Bruins vs. Flames prediction makes the case for the Flames staying hot on their home ice.
Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Best odds: +105 via Betway | Implied probability: 48.78%
Terms and conditions apply.
Ryan Huska’s team portrays the best edition of themselves in the friendly confines of the Saddledome, where they boast a sterling 11-4-1 record.
They’ve already taken some impressive scalps in the Stampede City, including the New Jersey Devils, Los Angeles Kings, New York Rangers, and, most recently, the Florida Panthers. 
Calder Trophy odds hopeful Dustin Wolf howls the loudest in Calgary, where fans adore him and seem to galvanize the Flames’ rookie goaltender. 
Wolf’s stats on home ice are arrestingly impressive. He is 8-1-0, posting the best save percentage (.949) and the second-best goals-against average (1.65) for goaltenders with at least seven games. 
Calgary was embarrassed 8-3 against Tampa Bay on Dec. 12 but rebounded for a 3-0 shutout victory over the defending Cup champion Florida Panthers two days later. I expect them and Wolf to be at their best against the Bruins, who they lost 4-3 in overtime to in the reverse fixture. 
The Bruins are 4-2-0 on the road since Jim Montgomery was ushered permanently out the door. However, three of those wins came against the New York Islanders, Detroit Red Wings, and Chicago Blackhawks. 
The other was against a Vancouver team with the 12th-worst home points percentage. 
During the current road trip, Boston lost 8-1 to Winnipeg before falling 5-1 to Seattle. They recovered to beat Vancouver 5-1. A winning $10 bet will profit $10.50. 
NHL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.
Best odds: -110 via Betway | Implied probability: 52.38%
I don’t love the -110 odds for Under 5.5 goals, but I can understand why the price is comparatively expensive. Seven of the last 11 games at the Saddledome had five or fewer goals, and the Flames allow the sixth-fewest goals per game on home ice (2.44). 
Boston doesn’t exactly light the lamp regularly in enemy rinks, scoring the eighth-fewest goals per game (2.6).
And, despite allowing the third-most goals per game on the road (3.73), they shouldn’t have to worry too much about regularly picking the puck out of their own net against a Calgary team that has scored four goals just once in the last 28 games. 
A winning bet will profit $9.09.
There’s been some slight moneyline movement since the opening number, with the Bruins moving from being around the -150 favorites to -130.
The Flames moved from +105 to -105, and they can now widely be found at +110.
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