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Last Updated: November 11, 2024 2:27 PM EST • 2 min 45 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link
The Pacific Division-leading Los Angeles Kings march into Scotiabank Saddledome on Remembrance Day with a four-point lead over the Calgary Flames. Still, the hosts won both against the Kings in Calgary last season and have played one fewer game so far this season.
Monday’s contest is on Prime Video and starts at 8:30 p.m. While neither team is considered a Stanley Cup odds contender, the Kings have won three of the last four and enter as favorites.
The Flames return home after three straight road games ended in overtime or a shootout. They won in the extra session in Montreal but lost to Boston and succumbed to Buffalo in a shootout.
Our Kings vs. Flames prediction sees value in the contest having at least six goals.
Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Best odds: -125 via Betway | Implied probability: 55.56%
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Calgary’s resilience and resistance are dually noted. Ryan Huska’s squad came back in the third period in all three recent road games, finding a way to take four points from a possible six.
They return to the Saddledome, where five of their seven games had at least six goals. Calgary will start Dustin Wolf, who has played well for the most part. Despite being reliable between the pipes, Wolf has allowed at least four goals in five of seven starts.
Calgary has been excellent defensively to start the season, allowing the fourth fewest goals per 60 minutes (tied with the Dallas Stars) 5-on-5 (1.87). That said, they have the sixth-worst penalty kill (72.3%) and have taken some indisciplined penalties at inopportune times.
The Kings haven’t confirmed who will get the nod in goal. But I don’t think it will matter where the Over 5.5 goals bet is concerned, as six of the Kings’ previous seven games had at least six goals.
Darcy Kuemper has allowed at least three goals in three of the last four and has -2.5 goals saved above expected, tied for 56th.
David Rittich has better numbers and knows Calgary well after playing there from 2016 to 2021. However, in his three games against the Flames, he is 0-1-2 with a bloated 4.24 goals-against average and a .868 save percentage. He has -1.4 goals saved above expected on the season, ranking 46th.
And then there’s the Kings’ propensity to dominate 5-on-5. They have the fifth-most goals per 60 minutes at even strength (3.07), which should be an excellent litmus test for the Flames’ thus-far elite 5-on-5 defense.
A winning $10 bet will yield a $8 profit.
NHL picks made Monday; odds subject to change.
Best odds: +130 via Betway | Implied probability: 43.48%
Blake Coleman hit this Over in four of the last five games and averages 2.9 shots per contest. He’s hit the Over in nine of 15 games and five of seven home games.
The +130 price offers added appeal, as a winning $10 bet will profit $13. So far this season, he has a 60% success rate, over 16% higher than the implied probability for this wager.
Kings-Flames predictions made Monday at 1 p.m. ET.
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