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By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
The Carolina Hurricanes have the opportunity to force Game 7 against the New York Rangers with a win on home ice tonight. Carolina has won two straight to rally from a 3-0 series deficit.
Game 6 goes Tuesday evening at PNC Arena in Raleigh, with TNT carrying the broadcast. The Hurricanes are priced as -165 home favorites, while the Rangers are +140 road underdogs.
Here’s our Rangers vs. Hurricanes prediction for Game 6, along with expert picks.
Carolina is a notable -165 favorite in the Game 6 Rangers vs Canes odds, giving the team 62.3% implied probability.
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Odds as of May 16, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Unlock all the best BetMGM promos for Canes/ Rangers.
The Hurricanes, heavy favorites entering the series, surprisingly lost the first three games of Round 3, falling behind 3-0. However, Rod Brind’Amour’s club has come alive, scoring four goals in consecutive victories to make the series 3-2.
The Canes played one of their best games of the postseason in Game 4, holding the high-powered Ragers’ offense to just 21 shots in a 4-1 victory. The Canes were down 1-0 heading into the third period but scored four unanswered goals to secure the victory.
Carolina has undoubtedly been the better five-on-five team in this series, sporting a 57.5 CF% at even strength compared to a 42.50 CF% for the Blueshirts. However, New York has capitalized on the power play four times, while Carolina has only scored once with their man advantage.
New York will likely need another big game from Igor Shesterkin, who has given up seven goals in two straight losses after posting a .950 save percentage in the previous two games. The Ranges will go as far as their superstar goalie will take them.
It’s still a long shot, but the Canes have a real chance at becoming the fifth team in NHL history to win a series after trailing 3-0. They were the favorites for a reason, and they can force Game 7 with a win on their home ice. During the regular season, the Canes went 31-10-5, at PNC Arena.
There are some key betting trends to note for Game 6, including that this series is resuming after a two-day hiatus. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last seven games playing on at least two days of rest. They are also 4-0 in their last four following a loss by at least three goals.
On the Carolina side, the Hurricanes are 5-1 in their last six when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. However, the Canes have lost five of their last six playoff games when favored between -110 and -150.
A key over/under trend to note is that the over is 12-3-1 in the Rangers’ last 16 games playing on 2 days rest. In contrast to this, however, is a Carolina trend in which the under is 4-1 in their last five games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
The Canes are the superior team in terms of advanced metrics, but the Rangers have been finding ways to win (at least prior to the two most recent games). We expect a much better effort from Peter Laviolette’s club, which had several players called out by the coach following Game 5.
Canes goaltender Freddie Andersen plays an important role in our Rangers vs Canes prediction, as he will almost certainly need to match a strong potential bounce-back game from Shertkin. Freddie was excellent in Tuesday’s game but had given up at least three goals in his prior three starts of the series.
It's time to #CauseChaos pic.twitter.com/N9QqIKQXph
— Carolina Hurricanes (@Canes) May 15, 2024
The last playoff series between these teams required a Game 7, so it would only be fitting if this one went seven as well. Four of the five games this year have been decided by one goal, making the Rangers +1.5 puckline a great addition for same-game parlays.
However, for our winner prediction, we’re siding with the oddsmakers and the advanced stats darlings. The Canes have outscored the Rangers at five-on-five and proven they can beat the previously red-hot Shesterkin. Back on home ice, we expect a Carolina defensive clinic to send this one to seven games.
Game 6 NYR-Car Picks
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
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