Cordell's prediction: Canada remains on top of the hockey world.
Canada and the United States will renew their rivalry in the Olympic final with gold on the line.
My Canada vs. USA predictions expect a similar script to the 4 Nations final: a tight, low-scoring Canadian victory.
Let’s take a closer look at my free betting picks for Sunday, February 22, with puck-drop set for 8:10 a.m. ET in Milan.
Canada vs USA Best bet: Canada moneyline (-130 at BET99)
Canada is the highest-scoring team in the tournament and has also posted the best goal differential at +19.
That’s particularly impressive because it has also faced a more difficult schedule. Four of the five games Canada has played were against teams that ranked sixth or higher in slot shot share.
Of the United States’ five opponents, only Sweden (fourth) ranked in the Top 6, and the Swedes took the United States to overtime despite playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Canada has posted better results while facing a tougher path. Look for it to claim gold.
Canada moneyline
Under 5.5
Canada and the United States rank first and second in both goals allowed and slot shots allowed. They’re elite defensive teams, and open ice will be hard to find with gold on the line.
These teams met in the 4 Nations final, a 3-2 game in which just four goals were scored in regulation.
Given their defensive prowess, we shouldn’t expect anything different this time around.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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