Dustin Wolf transforms into a brickwall inside the Saddledome, and he'll be a big reason why this tilt goes Under the total.
NHL
The Calgary Flames are hanging onto the final Wild-Card spot in the Western Conference and just a point ahead of the Vancouver Canucks.
Vancouver travels to the Scotiabank Saddledome on the second leg of a back-to-back set to face Calgary on Wednesday, March 12, and my Canucks vs. Flames predictions and NHL picks expect the home team to win a low-scoring battle tonight.
My Flames pick: Under 5.5 (-120 at BET99)
My Flames analysis
The Vancouver Canucks and Calgary Flames have been two of the most consistent teams to the Under and respectively rank 27th and 32nd in goals per game.
Vancouver has played to the Under in 10 of its past 13 games, and Calgary has an active 2-12-1 Over/ Under record.
The Flames have also been excellent defensively at the Scotiabank Saddledome with the fifth-fewest goals against per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 (1.82) and the ninth-fewest goals against per game (2.66).
Goaltending has also been the key for Calgary at home.
No. 1 Dustin Wolf has posted an elite .928 SV% and 2.17 GAA with 8.19 goals saved above average across his 23 home starts, and he’s also coming off a tidy, 26-save shutout against the Montreal Canadiens on Saturday.
With the Canucks struggling to generate offense, and leading-scorer Quinn Hughes (undisclosed) unlikely to suit up on the second leg of a back-to-back set with travel, I’m not anticipating Vancouver flipping the switch and lighting up the scoreboard tonight.
Flames moneyline
Under 5.5
Nazem Kadri Over 2.5 shots
I expect the Canucks to turn to backup Arturs Silovs in goal tonight, and he’s struggled at the highest level with an .858 SV%, 3.85 GAA and -1.00 GSAA/60 this season. Silovs’ .902 SV% across 15 AHL games isn’t a ringing endorsement either.
As a result, I like the Flames on home ice. Calgary is a respectable 18-10-4 at the Saddledome, after all.
Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Flames center Nazem Kadri often trades with a 3.5 shots total, so I’m happy to include him in the market at just 2.5.
Kadri has three or more shots in 11 of his past 13 games and paces Calgary with 10.52 shots and 20.13 attempts per 60 minutes. I also value him ranking in the 98th percentile of forwards in shots on goal.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Odds courtesy of BET99
The Calgary Flames have hit the game total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+13.25 Units / 15% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Canucks.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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