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⛳ British Open
Last Updated: February 15, 2025 10:34 AM EST • 4 minute read X Social Google News Link
An age-old rivalry continues on Saturday when Finland clashes with Sweden at Bell Centre in Montreal (1 p.m. ET, ABC) during the second contest for each team in the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Each side lost its opening matchup, and the Finns and Swedes now trail Canada and the USA in the 4 Nations Face-Off odds. We’re diving into Sweden’s path to win in regulation in our Finland vs. Sweden prediction and picks.
I’ve also made my USA vs. Canada prediction for the marquee tilt of the day.
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
A rivalry with this much history and bad blood can often be the great equalizer for any discernible class difference, which Finland will be hoping for when the puck drops.
I expect this one to transpire similarly to how the first two periods unfolded between the USA and Finland.
And I don’t think the Swedes will explode for four goals in the third period like the Americans. Finland should again struggle to muster concerted and prolonged offensive zone time, which will keep their high-danger chances at a minimum.
They had 2.73 expected goals against the USA, and I expect a similar number against the Three Crowns. Meanwhile, Sweden has too much offensive depth and talent for Finland’s injury-ravaged and shoestring defense to combat for 60 minutes.
Kevin Lankinen will start in goal for the Finns, with Juuse Saros heading to the bench for this game at least. The latter struggled during Finland’s opening game, posting -1.09 goals saved above expected.
Meanwhile, Filip Gustavsson should remain in the crease for the Swedes after his polished performance against Canada.
A winning $10 bet will profit $8.33.
Best odds: -120 via Betway | Implied probability: 54.55%
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Finland will acquit itself in a similar fashion as in the opener. They’ll most likely lose the time of possession and shot battles, defending deep and hoping Saros — or whoever starts — is at their best.
I envision this contest teetering between five and six goals. I’m going with the Over as I feel Sweden will break through four goals. Meanwhile, Finland has enough offensive talent to get a couple by Gustavsson. I can’t see a heated rivalry such as this one being lopsided.
Look for the Swedes to win 4-2, potentially scoring the fourth into an empty net. A winning $10 bet will profit $10.50.
Best odds: +105 via Betway | Implied probability: 48.78%
Odds via Betway.
Here are the rosters for Saturday’s 4 Nations Face-Off Finland vs. Sweden matchup.
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